Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.621398 0.777594 0.944952 1.135711 1.345367 1.567219 1.818229
2025-02-16 0.426009 0.642819 0.895803 1.203828 1.561027 1.955749 2.418951
2025-02-23 0.305814 0.542740 0.838822 1.216771 1.670766 2.185958 2.803460
2025-03-02 0.194593 0.426677 0.741679 1.164871 1.691533 2.304517 3.053614
2025-03-09 0.113716 0.327779 0.647780 1.101054 1.684663 2.379815 3.243940
2025-03-16 0.065512 0.261513 0.585844 1.068306 1.707962 2.484510 3.463039
2025-03-23 0.042615 0.231052 0.570142 1.093057 1.800586 2.670555 3.776613
2025-03-30 0.023368 0.196527 0.541987 1.096269 1.862371 2.816652 4.040730
2025-04-06 0.008761 0.157738 0.499474 1.074023 1.887197 2.914398 4.244478
2025-04-13 0.004538 0.148410 0.506595 1.123610 2.007233 3.131027 4.592737
2025-04-20 0.001877 0.140028 0.513811 1.172457 2.125815 3.345664 4.938627
2025-04-27 0.000619 0.135491 0.527443 1.230679 2.257036 3.576393 5.304514
2025-05-04 0.000208 0.138658 0.559594 1.323028 2.442672 3.885841 5.779440
2025-05-11 NaN 0.131244 0.569385 1.381005 2.582487 4.139121 6.188376
2025-05-18 NaN 0.114316 0.555530 1.399354 2.665681 4.318513 6.504712
2025-05-25 NaN 0.081749 0.497852 1.342175 2.639978 4.355494 6.642777
2025-06-01 NaN 0.053132 0.437188 1.273584 2.593764 4.362703 6.741082
2025-06-08 NaN 0.035969 0.398461 1.238072 2.592034 4.425625 6.906906
2025-06-15 NaN 0.030437 0.394983 1.264872 2.681524 4.609208 7.225331
2025-06-22 NaN 0.022807 0.379597 1.268338 2.735558 4.745130 7.483032
2025-06-29 NaN 0.013927 0.350948 1.244278 2.746827 4.822872 7.665989
2025-07-06 NaN 0.013292 0.362464 1.297889 2.876069 5.059710 8.052669
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012627 0.373519 1.350620 3.004095 5.295103 8.437782